Magnitude Matters

Your house is going to catch fire and burn down completely in about 10 years from today give or take a month. The good news is that no one w...

Which will come first? Aliens Contact Us or We Contact Aliens How quickly you dismiss this question on its very premises is interesting in i...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayeux_Tapestry Of the many, many lessons to be learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic, one that stands out to me ...

When investing, be careful not to confuse complicated with complex.  My inspiration for this post came from reading this essay by Arnold Kl...

We mostly all agree on the premises: Progress comes through experimentation. Most experiments fail. We mostly all disagree on the conclusion...

Ethics are rules and standards that we can reasonably hold others accountable to and that follow from first principles that are themselves s...

How should we think about global warming?  The video below came to mind as I read  this great post  from Michael Huemer. From the post: The ...